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market analysis

【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Forecast: Negative Against Yen Ahead of Fed

Risk Warning:

The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Forecast: Negative Against Yen Ahead of Fed". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The US dollar has been at the forefront of what most people have been paying attention to and not only the Forex markets, but markets in general.
So, with that being said, I think you've got a scenario where it's not overly surprising that there has been a lot of choppiness against the yen.

After all, this is a great way to show signs of where the U.S. dollar might go over the longer term and risk appetite on the whole. The Japanese yen, of course, is a major risk appetite measure. The Japanese yen is considered to be a safety currency. That being said, this week is going to be particularly interesting, mainly due to the fact that markets are going to be watching the Federal Reserve.

【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Forecast: Negative Against Yen Ahead of Fed(图1)

The Wednesday Federal Reserve interest rate decision, I think, will end up being a major market mover, not necessarily for the 25 basis points rate cut, but the concerns that the Federal Reserve shows, or for that matter, doesn't show. If they don't seem overly concerned about the market, that could change things. It might send the dollar higher based on the idea that they won't cut as much.

If there is Fear at the Fed

On the other hand, if they are in a situation where it appears that they are a bit concerned, then I think it would make a lot of sense for the U S dollar to strengthen against most currencies. Although this one could be the outlier in the sense that we could just see more sideways action as traders prefer both the US dollar and the Japanese yen over most other currencies and that could very well be how this plays out. We just go sideways and grind back and forth collecting swap. That being said, we are in a range right now with the 50-day EMA and the 200-day EMA indicators right about where price is and the 149 yen level above as a major resistance barrier and the 146.50 yen level underneath as a major support level.

In other words, I think we're about as close to fair value and balance as you can get. This is a very neutral pair. It will be noisy on Friday and then we'll really start to know what's going to happen, I think on Thursday.

Want to trade our USD/JPY forex analysis and predictions? Here's a list of forex brokers in Japan to check out.

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【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Forecast: Negative Against Yen Ahead of Fed

If there is Fear at the Fed

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