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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Analysis: Performance May Remain Cautious Until Key Event
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Analysis: Performance May Remain Cautious Until Key Event". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
EUR/USD Analysis Summary Today
- Overall Trend: Neutral with a bullish bias.
- Support Levels: 1.1680 – 1.1600 – 1.1540
- Resistance Levels: 1.1785 – 1.1820 – 1.1900
EUR/USD Trading Signals:
- Buy EUR/USD from the support level of 1.1600, with a target of 1.1800 and a stop-loss at 1.1520.
- Sell EUR/USD from the resistance level of 1.1820, with a target of 1.1600 and a stop-loss at 1.1900.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD Today:
EUR/USD gains may continue to be contingent on market and investor reactions to the US Federal Reserve's announcement this week, amid strong expectations that the bank will cut US interest rates following disappointing US jobs data, pressure from Trump, and mixed US inflation figures. According to licensed currency trading platforms, EUR/USD gains extended to the 1.1780 resistance level before closing last week's trading stable around 1.1733, with bulls failing to breach the psychological resistance of 1.1800.
This Week's Trading Question: Can EUR/USD Break 1.18 with a U.S. Rate Cut?
According to forex experts, the EUR/USD exchange rate rebounded to 1.1730 on Thursday after ECB President Christine Lagarde hinted that the rate-cutting cycle might be over. This boosted the euro despite mixed inflation and labor market data in the U.S. Forex analysts expect the EUR/USD pair to remain within the 1.1650-1.1750 range for now, with a potential break above 1.18 only if the Fed accelerates its rate cuts this week while the ECB holds its policy steady.
Will the EUR/USD pair rise in the xmregister.coming days?
According to forex trading, the euro/US dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate briefly rose after the latest US jobs data, then recorded renewed gains after Lagarde's hints that the ECB would not make any further rate cuts boosted the euro. Accordingly, the EUR/USD pair rose to 1.1730 from its lows of 1.1660, but the most important question is: Will the euro maintain its gains and rise further, or will the dollar resist again?
In this regard, currency experts expect the euro to trade within a price range, most likely between 1.1675 and 1.1755. They believe that the EUR/USD price will not sustainably exceed the 1.18 resistance level unless it becomes clear that the Federal Reserve will make further significant cuts to US interest rates in the xmregister.coming months. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank shows no signs of further cuts, and Donald Trump continues to undermine the Fed's independence.
On the economic front, according to the economic calendar, US consumer prices rose by 0.4% in August, following a previous increase of 0.2%, xmregister.compared to consensus expectations of a 0.3% increase, with the annual rate rising to 2.9% from 2.7%. Core prices also rose 0.3% on a monthly basis, with the annual rate remaining at 3.1%. Both figures were in line with expectations. In another context, US initial jobless claims rose to 263,000 in the latest week, from 236,000 previously, exceeding expectations of 235,000 and recording the highest reading since June 2023.
Following this data, the currency trading market has fully priced in the possibility of three rate cuts by the end of 2025. Furthermore, the probability of a 50-basis point U.S. rate cut this week has also risen to about 12%.
Based on the daily chart, the EUR/USD pair will likely continue to trade within a relatively narrow range of 1.16 and 1.18 in the short term. Technically, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around a reading of 56, moving away from the neutral line, which supports the bulls to push higher if factors for more EUR/USD buying are available. The MACD lines are also preparing to turn upward, awaiting a catalyst. The EUR/USD pair is not anticipating any significant economic data from either the U.S. or the Eurozone today, which confirms the likelihood of the pair moving within a tight range at the start of the week's trading.
Trading Tips:
Traders are advised to be patient and avoid risk until the markets react to the U.S. central bank's announcement later this week, as this will lead to strong and volatile currency price movements.
The Future of ECB Policies
Recently, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate at 2.00% at its last monetary policy meeting. Inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were slightly increased, but this increase was offset by a slight downward revision for 2027. At the same time, the bank provided little official guidance for the future. However, ECB President Lagarde was more optimistic about the outlook, indicating that risks to economic growth are now more balanced. Lagarde also xmregister.commented on the xmregister.completion of the disinflation process. In response, traders no longer support any further interest rate cuts by the ECB.
Overall, some Investment banks are cautious. Experts believe the central bank is unlikely to change interest rates again this year, but we believe the risks are tilted toward further cuts in 2026.
Fitch Downgrades France's Credit Rating
In a move that could affect forex traders' sentiment toward the euro, Fitch Ratings on Friday lowered France's sovereign credit rating from AA- to A+, citing political turmoil and rising debt. The downgrade xmregister.comes just days after François Bayrou resigned as Prime Minister after losing a parliamentary no-confidence vote over an attempt to pass an austerity budget. According to Fitch, this new rating—the lowest ever from a major credit rating agency for France—has a stable outlook.
French President Emmanuel Macron appointed Sébastien Lecornu, a loyal governor, to form a new government after lawmakers ousted veteran centrist François Bayrou in a no-confidence vote over his proposed €44 billion ($52 billion) budget cut. France's current credit rating from Standard & Poor's is AA- with a negative outlook. Moody's last rated France at Aa3 with a stable outlook. And DBRS Morningstar last rated France at AA (high), also with a negative outlook.
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